Tweet
One interesting thing that popped out was fanduel is giving Wisconsin -156 over Minnesota. Home game for Minnesota, so that's probably why, but I think Wisconsin could be 4 to 8 points better than Minnesota. Wisconsin 1-5, 6-10, 11-15 bands are +440, +420, +650 respectively. I might experiment with that.
-
Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille! -
Wisconsin only won by 2 instead of by 4 to 8, and I still ended up with an 80% ROI on the three bets.Originally posted by Kung Wu View Post
This approach turned out way better for several reasons:
1) It's simple.
2) The "hedge" is baked into the bands. (e.g. If you think the score will be a 4-8 point difference, you are already in [hedged] for 1-3 point differences, and 9-10 or 9-15 point differences (depending on how far out you want to go).
3) The hedges are profitable instead of break even.
4) The hedge is way less expensive.
5) There should be more opportunities.
Who knows if it works long term though?Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
I'm trying Marquette to beat DePaul with these 4 bands:
11-15 +460
16-20 +500
21-25 +550
26-30 +700
Not sure why I did the 26-30, but it made sense this morning so I'm not gonna second guess myself. lolKung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
Marquette won by 13, so I got +460 odds. After subtracting the three "losers", I got a 40% ROI.Originally posted by Kung Wu View PostKung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
Trying Arizona over Oregon St.:
11-15 +480
16-20 +500
21-25 +550
The only reason I am posting these is to keep myself honest and share what I'm learning. I can stop if it's annoying.Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
I'm actually intrigued. I tried to look into doing something similar yesterday, but for some reason my connection at work was really bad and I got busy afterward. I've done some things like this, on a smaller scale, a few times in the past but never worked it into an actual strategy.Originally posted by Kung Wu View PostInfinity Art Glass - Fantastic local artist and Shocker fan
RIP Guy Always A Shocker
Carpenter Place - A blessing to many young girls/women
ICT S.O.S - Great local cause fighting against human trafficking
Wartick Insurance Agency - Saved me money with more coverage.
Save Shocker Sports - A rallying cryComment
-
Cool, I'll keep posting ... we'll see if it works at all.Originally posted by SubGod22 View PostKung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
Ouch.Originally posted by Kung Wu View PostDeuces Valley.
... No really, deuces.
________________
"Enjoy the ride."
- a smart manComment
-
Yeah that was an L. Huge upset!Originally posted by ShockerFever View PostKung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
Finally getting some computer time again! Gonna try these bands today:
Texas by 1-5
Houston by 1-5
Houston by 6-10
Houston by 11-15
... also trying these bands ...
Duke by 1-5
Virginia Tech by 1-5
Virginia Tech by 6-10
Duke is favored -3.5, so this is the first "upset" I have selected (meaning I'm weighing more on VT than Duke).
Last edited by Kung Wu; January 29, 2024, 08:32 AM.Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
Early returns at the poll indicate this is going to be a colossal fail. Thought VT played well at home and could hang.Originally posted by Kung Wu View PostDuke by 1-5
Virginia Tech by 1-5
Virginia Tech by 6-10
Duke is favored -3.5, so this is the first "upset" I have selected (meaning I'm weighing more on VT than Duke).
Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
-24% ROI on these bets (Duke/VT was -100% but Texas/Houston was +430 which ended up giving a net -24% ROI.Originally posted by Kung Wu View PostFinally getting some computer time again! Gonna try these bands today:
Texas by 1-5
Houston by 1-5
Houston by 6-10
Houston by 11-15
... also trying these bands ...
Duke by 1-5
Virginia Tech by 1-5
Virginia Tech by 6-10
Duke is favored -3.5, so this is the first "upset" I have selected (meaning I'm weighing more on VT than Duke).
Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
Today's bands:
Texas Tech 1-5 +550
TCU 1-5 +450
Tennessee 11-15 +400
Tennessee 16-20 +500
Tennessee 21-25 +650
Illinois 1-5 +430
Illinois 6-10 +430
Ohio St 1-5 +500Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
Tennessee better get their act together!!! Losing at half time by 4.Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
-
Tennessee looks like crap. How are they ranked so high???Kung Wu say, man who read woman like book, prefer braille!Comment
Comment