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With the conference season about to start, here are the Pablo numbers for the AAC teams.
The first number is the current rating and the second is the rating from the end of last year. This should give some notion of any change in the strength of the teams. The current rating will have none of last year's influence.
2022 2021
6375 6665 UCF
6060 5895 Houston
5810 5625 SMU
5480 5550 Shockers
5365 4895 Tulsa
5125 5720 Cincinnati
5025 4705 Memphis
4930 4485 USF
4880 5180 Tulane
4750 4720 East Carolina
4565 4265 Temple
5305 5246 Avg
(Sorry, extra blanks for formatting purposes are eliminated.)
Clearly, there are three teams at the top, maybe only two.
A dude on VT takes these Pablo numbers and projects a season-ending RPI, updating that projected RPI each week. Currently he has,
15 UCF
17 Houston
...
64 SMU
88 Shockers
Only two teams appear to have a real chance to make the Dance ... but it is early.
Hmm. The top four MVC teams have projected RPIs of 59, 79, 81, and 87.
Okay, I will say it. The Shockers best chance to make the NCAAs again is after the "bigs" leave. (So I may as well put that stuff in here.)
The AAC will lose UCF, Houston, and Cincinnati. They will raid Conference USA to add Charlotte (current RPI of 5130), Florida Atlantic (5420), North Texas (5170), Rice (6455), UAB (5015), and UTSA (4865).
This has got to be far more information than anyone wants :), so I will close.
The first number is the current rating and the second is the rating from the end of last year. This should give some notion of any change in the strength of the teams. The current rating will have none of last year's influence.
2022 2021
6375 6665 UCF
6060 5895 Houston
5810 5625 SMU
5480 5550 Shockers
5365 4895 Tulsa
5125 5720 Cincinnati
5025 4705 Memphis
4930 4485 USF
4880 5180 Tulane
4750 4720 East Carolina
4565 4265 Temple
5305 5246 Avg
(Sorry, extra blanks for formatting purposes are eliminated.)
Clearly, there are three teams at the top, maybe only two.
A dude on VT takes these Pablo numbers and projects a season-ending RPI, updating that projected RPI each week. Currently he has,
15 UCF
17 Houston
...
64 SMU
88 Shockers
Only two teams appear to have a real chance to make the Dance ... but it is early.
Hmm. The top four MVC teams have projected RPIs of 59, 79, 81, and 87.
Okay, I will say it. The Shockers best chance to make the NCAAs again is after the "bigs" leave. (So I may as well put that stuff in here.)
The AAC will lose UCF, Houston, and Cincinnati. They will raid Conference USA to add Charlotte (current RPI of 5130), Florida Atlantic (5420), North Texas (5170), Rice (6455), UAB (5015), and UTSA (4865).
This has got to be far more information than anyone wants :), so I will close.
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