Okay, some stuff from Volleytalk

[flyingMoose]

A VT member annually creates a thread that projects season-ending RPIs using Pablo to determine wins and losses for the remainder of a team's schedule. As noted in the past, a Pablo value is derived from past results. Comparing the Pablo values provides a probability of a team winning a given match. It's interesting.

Pablo - Team - Projected RPI - Projected Conference Record

6275 - UCF - 21 - 17-3
5790 - Cincinnati - 54 - 14-6
5790 - Houston - 60 - 14-6
5555 - SMU - 85 - 12-8
5485 - Shockers - 75 - 12-8
5315 - Tulane - 144 - 10-10
5090 - Memphis - 162 - 11-9
4975 - USF - 178 - 8-12
4755 - Tulsa - 197 - 6-14
4600 - East Carolina - 244 - 5-15
4435 - Temple - 236 - 4-16

This is using current values for Pablo which will change as matches are played, projected records for opponents when projecting an RPI, other caveats. It's mostly an interesting toy.

[flyingMoose]

And now posters over there are speculating which conferences will get how many bids. For your reading pleasure,

Unpredictable Conferences:

AAC - (will anyone besides UCF get in?) - no conference tournament. I think the clear best chance for an at-large is that
UCF gets 2nd and someone else wins the AQ. Three bids - mathematically possible, very unlikely.


And then someone else says,

Unpredictable: AAC should get more than one. There is so much RPI upside for Cincy/Houston/Wichita State/SMU if they have a strong conference season. If they are all about equal and trade off wins and lose another somewhere else, then no. But if 1 or 2 of them separate, then yes.


Both of these guys are knowledgeable, reputable posters.

[flyingMoose]

About this time, the RPI Futures guy runs 1000 simulations with current records and current Pablo to see what the chances are of finishing in the Top XX.

Of interest to Shocker fans would be the chances of finishing in the Top 45 of the RPI.

100% - UCF
32% - Cincinnati
17% - Houston
7% - Shockers

[flyingMoose]

Being halfway through the conference schedule, here are some projected RPI and conference records

21 - UCF (18-2)
48 - Cincinnati (14-6)
58 - Houston (14-6)
60 - Shockers (13-7)

and others of little interest.

[flyingMoose]

This week's chances of being in the Top 45 of the RPI.

100% - UCF
30% - Cincinnati
15% - Shockers
14% - Houston

[pogo]

Movin on up...to the eastside.

[WuDrWu]

Didn’t want to start a new thread and this was as good a place as I could find.

Watched #3 Wisconsin at #6 Nebraska last night.

The Badgers have at least 6 graduate seniors and a 6’9” (that’s right six foot NINE) freshman. They swept Nebraska in front of a packed and seemingly 100% mask compliant crowd.

Both teams are loaded but Wisconsin is very mature.

Gio was a regular rotation little the entire match.

[1972Shocker]

Gio was a regular rotation little the entire match.

So Gio's knee injury was not another ACL tear. Good to hear that.

[flyingMoose]

So Gio's knee injury was not another ACL tear. Good to hear that.

Yes, great to hear. I checked a couple of weeks ago to see if there was an update on the Wisconsin site, but since there wasn't, I quit looking at their News or Boxscores.