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Thought I'd have some fun here since half of ShockerNet is at each other's throats right now. Here's the game: I'm going to give you win probability charts for well-known Shocker games (all per KenPom, and I didn't want to include some blowout win at Bradley) that have taken place in the last six years. I have blurred out the names and scores.
Key:
Numbers on bottom = # of possessions
Time on top = Time remaining in a respective half
Percentages = percent chance either team has of winning the game. The "75%" figure you'll see corresponds to the closest name. If the chart gets to 75% on one side, that team has a 75% chance of winning at a particular moment.
The names of each team are the top and bottom black boxes. The middle black box has blocked out the number of points scored by each time at a certain time in the game, because that would be too easy. The team who ends the game at a 100% win probability is the winner.
Example:
In this instance, the team on the top started with around an 80% win probability. This probability takes into account a couple of things: the respective strength of each team and home court advantage.
This game was Nebraska in 2011. We absolutely blew the doors off those dudes. We were the top team and they were the bottom team.
Anyways, here goes (I have included both wins and losses so it's not too easy to guess):
1. Kansas
2. Gonzaga
(I can't upload any more files, so I'll put the rest in the next post)
Key:
Numbers on bottom = # of possessions
Time on top = Time remaining in a respective half
Percentages = percent chance either team has of winning the game. The "75%" figure you'll see corresponds to the closest name. If the chart gets to 75% on one side, that team has a 75% chance of winning at a particular moment.
The names of each team are the top and bottom black boxes. The middle black box has blocked out the number of points scored by each time at a certain time in the game, because that would be too easy. The team who ends the game at a 100% win probability is the winner.
Example:
In this instance, the team on the top started with around an 80% win probability. This probability takes into account a couple of things: the respective strength of each team and home court advantage.
This game was Nebraska in 2011. We absolutely blew the doors off those dudes. We were the top team and they were the bottom team.
Anyways, here goes (I have included both wins and losses so it's not too easy to guess):
1. Kansas
2. Gonzaga
(I can't upload any more files, so I'll put the rest in the next post)
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