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MVC 15-16 Outlook

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  • MVC 15-16 Outlook

    Since the MVC season is wrapping up I decided to take a look at what the future might hold for the conference next year. I came away very excited for next season. This could be the strongest the Valley has been since 2006. I count 8 of the 10 teams that should be better than they were this year. Only Drake and UNI do I see going backwards. UNI should still be a decent team, just not as good at they were this year. So many teams are returning almost their whole team. ISUR, ISUB, Evansville, and Loyola should all be pretty good next year. SIU, Bradley, and MSU should all be much better teams than they were this year. Depending how things go in the non-con, we could be looking at a lot of pretty good rpi's next season. Dare I say possibly getting 3 teams in the tourney next year?! It is possible!

    Northern Iowa
    Key returners: Wes Washpun, Paul Jesperson, Matt Bohannon, Jeremy Morgan, Wyatt Lohaus
    Key losses: Seth Tuttle, Deon Mitchell, Nate Buss, Marvin Singleton
    Recruits: NR Luke McDonnell (6’8” 200 lbs PF), NR Spencer Haldeman (6’1” apparently he has no weight PG), NR Justin Dahl (6’11” 225 lbs C), JC Aarias Austin (6’4” 180 lbs SG)

    Outlook: Obviously loosing Tuttle, Mitchell, and Buss is huge. They definitely will not be as good next year, but with Waspun, Jesperson, and Bohannon returning they also definitely won’t fall off the face of the earth. None of their recruits seem like they will make an instant impact. They should be in the middle of the pack next year.

    Indiana State
    Key returners: Devonte Brown, Brenton Scott, Khristian Smith, Tre' Bennett, T.J. Bell, Grant Prusator, Brandon Murphy
    Key losses: Justin Gant, Jake Kitchell,
    Recruits: NR Bronson Kessinger (6’6” 200 lbs SF), NR Emondre Rickman (6’8” 220 PF)

    Outlook: I was very surprised to see that Indiana State is returning 4 of their top 5 scorers. I for some reason was thinking they were very senior heavy. Gant and Kitchell are good pieces, but they are returning the majority of their team. None of the recruits look to factor in early. They should be an improved team next year and will be pushing the top 100 RPI.

    Illinois State
    Key returners: DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell, Reggie Lynch, Deontae Hawkins, Paris Lee, MiKyle McIntosh, Tony Wills, Justin McCloud
    Key losses: Daishon Knight, Bobby Hunter, John Jones
    Recruits: NR Daouda Ndiaye (6’11” 205 lbs C), NR Roland Griffin (6’6” 195 lbs SG), NR Matt Hein (6’2” 170 lbs PG), NR Keyshawn Evans (5’11” 150 lbs PG)

    Outlook: Another team that returns most of their key guys. Losing Knight will hurt, but they should take a pretty good step forward next year. A lot of talent returning. I don’t see any of their recruits making an impact early on. They should be in the running for #2 in the Valley next year.

    Evansville
    Key returners: D.J. Balentine, Egidijus Mockevicius, Mislav Brzoja, Blake Simmons, Adam Wing, Duane Gibson, Jaylon Brown, David Howard
    Key losses: Jaylon Moore
    Recruits: NR Harris Brown ( 5’11” PG), NR Dainius Chatkevicius (6’9” 245 lbs PF)

    Outlook: Evansville returns basically their whole team. Top 7 scorers and 9 out of the top 10. They should take a big step forward. Mock and Balentines senior year. Could be a very big year for Evansville next year. Recruits don’t seem like they will factor in. Will be in the upper part of the league next year.

    Loyola
    Key returners: Milton Doyle, Montel James, Earl Peterson, Devon Turk, Donte Ingram, Ben Richardson, Jeff White, Jay Knuth
    Key losses: Christian Thomas, Joe Crisman
    Recruits: 3 star Roosevelt Smart (6’2” 170 lbs PG), JC Maurice Kirby (6’9” 230 lbs C), NR Pernell Adgei (6’7” SF)

    Outlook: Loyola returns 8 of their top 9 scorers. They were very young and small this year. Look for them to take a step forward with the experienced gained. Down low they should be a little bigger and better than they were this year. Their only two players taller than 6’7” were both freshmen this year. They are also adding a 6’9” 230 lbs JC transfer to the mix. I expect them to be improved next year. They also have a 3 star PG coming in that could factor into the mix.

    Drake
    Key returners: Reed Timmer, Jacob Enevold Jensen, Ore Arogundade, C.J. Rivers, Kory Kuenstling
    Key losses: Gary Ricks Jr., Jordan Daniels, Chris Caird, Trevor Berkeley, Karl Madison
    Recruits: NR Nick McGlynn (6’8” 210 lbs PF), NR Billy Wampler (6’6” 200 SG), NR Johannes Dolven (6’8” 225 lbs PF), NR Dominik Olejniczak (7’ 230 lbs C)

    Outlook: Drake has a lot of turnover from a not very good team to begin with. They have a couple good pieces in Timmer and Enevold Jensen to anchor their team next year, but they will have a hard time gathering a lot of wins in the Valley next year. I expect a slight step back from where they are this year. On a side note, they are huge down low. 3 guys over 6’10” on the roster and they are adding a 7’ to the mix. Could use that to their advantage.

    Missouri State
    Key returners: Camyn Boone, Austin Ruder, Dorrian Williams, Chris Kendrix, Gavin Thurman, Loomis Gerring, Tyler McCullough, Shawn Roundtree
    Key losses: Marcus Marshall, Christian Kirk
    Recruits: NR Jarred Dixon (6’3” 170 lbs PG), NR Zach Cameron-Chodes (6’9” 205 lbs PF), NR Obediah Church (6’8” 200 lbs SF), NR Ryan Kreklow (6’3” 185 lbs SG)

    Outlook: Losing Marshall really hurts the bears. They lack that go to guy without him. If he would of stayed on the team, they might of actually had a chance to be decent next year with them returning basically every other guy that contributed this year. Still look for them to be a better team since they were so young this year and return so many parts. They will probably be an opening night team next year in the MVC tournament.

    Southern Illinois
    Key returners: Anthony Beane, Jordan Caroline, Sean O'Brien, Jalen Pendleton, Deion Lavender, Tyler Smithpeters, Bola Olaniyan, K.C Goodwin, Ibby Djimde
    Key losses:
    Recruits:

    Outlook: Southern Illinois brings back every single guy that had any value this year. The only senior they had played 7 mpg. Half their team are freshmen this year. Beane and Caroline are both good players. They don’t have a single recruit. So basically they will have the same exact team next year. Look for them to take a couple steps forward based purely off bringing everyone back. They still will have a hard time getting out of the bottom third of the league next year.

    Bradley
    Key returners: Warren Jones, Tramique Sutherland, Josh Cunningham, Omari Grier, Ka'Darryl Bell, Xzavier Taylor, Nate Wells, Jermaine Morgan, Donte Thomas, Mike Shaw
    Key losses: Auston Barnes
    Recruits:

    Outlook: Bradley will be returning almost their whole team. Barnes was their 3rd leading scorer, but besides him everyone who meant something to them will be back. Look for them to take a few steps forward as a team. As of right now they do not have any recruits. They will be better, but also will have a hard time competing with the upper teams in the Valley.

  • #2
    Thanks for taking the time to write this up, very informative.

    Comment


    • #3
      Pretty insane that the team losing the most players was one of the worst teams in the conference. Anyone have better insight into Drake than I do?

      Also, insanely good job on all the leg work on the post @Jhook89: really impressive post.
      ShockerHoops.net - A Wichita State Basketball Blog

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      • #4
        Nice work @Jhook89:

        Late signings in April (or later) could alter the outlook somewhat but we will just have to wait and see. Also it is very difficult to know much about redshirts and transfers who may have been sitting out this year not to mention which reserves coming back who might step up their contributions.

        That said I appreciate the information you have accumulated.

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        • #5
          Originally posted by 1972Shocker View Post
          Nice work @Jhook89

          Late signings in April (or later) could alter the outlook somewhat but we will just have to wait and see. Also it is very difficult to know much about redshirts and transfers who may have been sitting out this year not to mention which reserves coming back who might step up their contributions.

          That said I appreciate the information you have accumulated.
          Obviously things will change (transfers in, transfers out, redshirts, late signings, etc), but it is still interesting with the info that we do have that is appears the conference next year will be as strong as it has been in a whole. ISUR and Evansville look to be pretty tough teams next year.

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Jhook89 View Post
            Obviously things will change (transfers in, transfers out, redshirts, late signings, etc), but it is still interesting with the info that we do have that is appears the conference next year will be as strong as it has been in a whole. ISUR and Evansville look to be pretty tough teams next year.
            Evansville looks great next year.

            Illinois State under Muller will be bad, regardless of talent, imo. That goes for Lusk and MSU as well.
            ShockerHoops.net - A Wichita State Basketball Blog

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            • #7
              Good stuff right there! The only factual thing I noticed is that I don't think Roosevelt Smart signed his LOI to Loyola, making it questionable as to whether he's still committed there. I could be wrong about that.

              The thing that concerns me is that no newcomers appear to be immediate contributors, except at Drake where the numbers dictate some of theirs will have to get some serious PT. Let's hope some of them arrive ready to play, for the sake of the future of this league.

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              • #8
                I've heard some grumblings from the Evansville area that Mock may pull a Gal Mekel and sign a pro contract back home in Lithuania. That will be the whole key to determine whether Evansville will make a step forward or not next year. If he's back they have a shot to be solid.

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                • #9
                  Thanks for all the work Jhook89!

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                  • #10
                    I'd look for a lot more turnover at Bradley. I'd say it's 50/50 at best Josh Cunningham returns next year.

                    Probably some key redshirts. Whether or not Uni can stay near the top of the league rests on Koch and Friedman competing in the post otherwise they will be small and weak. Not a good combination. Also I think but don't know that Buss could return on a hardship ruling.

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                    • #11
                      Originally posted by WuDrWu View Post
                      I'd look for a lot more turnover at Bradley. I'd say it's 50/50 at best Josh Cunningham returns next year.

                      Probably some key redshirts. Whether or not Uni can stay near the top of the league rests on Koch and Friedman competing in the post otherwise they will be small and weak. Not a good combination. Also I think but don't know that Buss could return on a hardship ruling.
                      I hope for their sake Cunningham coms back. I was surprised how big Drake was. 3 guys over 6'10" on their roster now and a 7' on the way. I was also disappointed with the valleys recruiting as a whole. WSU is head and shoulders above everyone else as far as new talent coming in.

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by shocks771 View Post
                        I've heard some grumblings from the Evansville area that Mock may pull a Gal Mekel and sign a pro contract back home in Lithuania. That will be the whole key to determine whether Evansville will make a step forward or not next year. If he's back they have a shot to be solid.
                        Is it true that Mock and Coach have had their moments?
                        "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it is about the future."

                        --Niels Bohr







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                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Jhook89 View Post
                          I hope for their sake Cunningham coms back. I was surprised how big Drake was. 3 guys over 6'10" on their roster now and a 7' on the way. I was also disappointed with the valleys recruiting as a whole. WSU is head and shoulders above everyone else as far as new talent coming in.
                          That's Ray just mirroring Gonzaga recruiting. They get big guys and develop the hell out of them. Few has done that for years and they always seem to have a you've never heard of this guy post who does exactly what they need and is a monster against 97% of the NCAA.

                          I'll be STUNNED if Cunningham returns. I think he's gonzo.

                          Recruiting is tough, especially when you KNOW you're not going to be as good as us. Nobody wants to be 2, and that's all anyone not wearing a WSU jersey can realistically hope for right now.

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                          • #14
                            I'd say it's 50/50 at best that Paul Lusk stays at MSU. It's rumored that there may be a buy out offer but I can't imagine him taking it. MSU just gave HCPL a 5 year extension (not sure why) last season that has a $1.5m buy out if he is fired after this season. They have dumped so much money into their Football "program" (if you want to call it that) that they may not have the funds to buy out PL.

                            In any case - MSU may become a virtual cellar dweller for the next few years.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by WuDrWu View Post

                              I'll be STUNNED if Cunningham returns. I think he's gonzo.
                              Is there any info you have that makes you think this or is it just a feeling you have?

                              Originally posted by shocks771 View Post
                              I've heard some grumblings from the Evansville area that Mock may pull a Gal Mekel and sign a pro contract back home in Lithuania. That will be the whole key to determine whether Evansville will make a step forward or not next year. If he's back they have a shot to be solid.
                              That would completely suck. Especially for them, but for the Valley as a whole. I am really hoping they can pull a UNI next year and join WSU in the rankings.

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