Shocker Record prediction New Year edition

[MadaboutWu]

What do you think the Shocker record will be at the end of the Valley regular season?

[AndShock]

Still undefeated :)

[Play Angry]

RPIforecast gives the following odds (updated through games on 12/29):

31-0: 4.89%
30-1: 16.72%
29-2: 26.14%
28-3: 25.53%
27-4: 16.13%
26-5: 7.68%
25-6: 2.25%

[Onegreatracer]

31-0, by the end of the tournament, 34-0, by the end of the NCAA, 38-1.

[MadaboutWu]

So it still has 3+ losses as essentially a coin flip at about 52-48, but the odds go significantly in our favor after that.

[wufan]

I figured on 11-2 non-con and 15-3 for the conference. I'm subtracting my 2 non-con losses and holding my conference prediction.

[MadaboutWu]

Bump.

[asiseeit]

With a healthy Baker two losses and into final sixteen. With Baker hurting three losses and out after one tournament win.
Bottom line...........do what it takes to get him as close to 100% as possible.

[MadaboutWu]

For comparison sake, the average number of losses predicted preseason was 3.3.
That climbed to 4.2 in mid-November following some first half struggles.
Then fell to 2.5 in the early November poll.
The pre-conference poll has us sitting at 1.7 losses.

[1972Shocker]

14-17