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Margin of Victory/Defeat vs Top 100

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  • Margin of Victory/Defeat vs Top 100

    I’ll admit this is a bit random, but I looked to see how a handful of teams from last year did against top 100 competition. Average Margin is simply calculated by adding up all the winning margins, subtracting all the losing margins, and dividing by number of games played. Average rank of opponent just helps to show if a team’s opponents tended to be toward the top or bottom of the top 100.

    I have to say that 4 games is a small sample size, but the numbers for 2013-2014 look promising so far. I’ll be interested to look at this again after WSU gets a few more top 100 games under their belt and after enough games are played where we can get a better feel of how good teams like Tennessee and Alabama really are.

    (All ranks are based on Ken Pomeroy’s website, kenpom.com)

    Team . . . . Games vs top 100 . . . . Average Margin . . . . Average Rank of Opp

    2012-2013
    WSU . . . . . . . . . . 19 . . . . . . . . . . .. 2.6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63
    Louisville . . . . . . . 21 . . . . . . . . . . .. 8.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
    Indiana . . . . . . . . 21 . . . . . . . . . . .. 8.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
    Gonzaga . . . . . . . 16 . . . . . . . . . . . 10.9 . . . . . . . . . . . .. 46
    Duke . . . . . . . . . .22 . . . . . . . . . . .. 7.0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
    Ohio State . . . . .. 19 . . . . . . . . . . .. 2.0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
    Kansas . . . . . . . . 24 . . . . . . . . . . . 11.6 . . . . . . . . . . . .. 42

    2013-2014
    WSU . . . . . . . . . . 4 . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.8 . . . . . .. . . . . . . 42
    Last edited by Jamar Howard 4 President; February 7, 2014, 01:18 PM.

  • #2
    Nothing unexpected for me except the number of games for WSU against top 100, which is 19.

    I would have never guessed that it was that high.
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it is about the future."

    --Niels Bohr







    Comment


    • #3
      Here is an update now that WSU has 5 games under their belt against top 100 teams and their opponents have further established their own ranks. Saturday's game will be #6, and then it isn't until February that the Shox get another crack at a top 100 team.

      2013-2014
      WSU . . . . . . . . . . 5 . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50

      Comment


      • #4
        You are such a anomaly JH4P, I am not sure where to file you in my list of SN posters. You are either contributing solid metric examinations, or dying on a hill trying to pick a fight over who-knows-what.

        Comment


        • #5
          1,000 points for using "solid metric examinations" in a sentence.

          Comment


          • #6
            Opponenets have moved around in the last month, with one of WSU's formerly top 100 wins now outside the top 100. Add in the 2nd game vs ISU and WSU is back to 5 games vs top 100. Here's an update.

            Team . . . . Games vs top 100 . . . . Average Margin . . . . Average Rank of Opp

            2012-2013
            WSU . . . . . . . . . . 19 . . . . . . . . . . .. 2.6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63
            Louisville . . . . . . . 21 . . . . . . . . . . .. 8.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
            Indiana . . . . . . . . 21 . . . . . . . . . . .. 8.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
            Gonzaga . . . . . . . 16 . . . . . . . . . . . 10.9 . . . . . . . . . . . .. 46
            Duke . . . . . . . . . .22 . . . . . . . . . . .. 7.0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
            Ohio State . . . . .. 19 . . . . . . . . . . .. 2.0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
            Kansas . . . . . . . . 24 . . . . . . . . . . . 11.6 . . . . . . . . . . . .. 42

            2013-2014
            WSU . . . . . . . . . . 5 . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.8 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
            Last edited by Jamar Howard 4 President; February 8, 2014, 06:13 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              How are other teams ranking against us this year?
              Livin the dream

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by wufan View Post
                How are other teams ranking against us this year?
                Updated with more teams for 2013-2014

                Team . . . . Games vs top 100 . . . . Average Margin . . . . Average Rank of Opp

                2012-2013
                WSU . . . . . . . . . . 19 . . . . . . . . . . .. 2.6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63
                Louisville . . . . . . . 21 . . . . . . . . . . .. 8.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
                Indiana . . . . . . . . 21 . . . . . . . . . . .. 8.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
                Gonzaga . . . . . . . 16 . . . . . . . . . . . 10.9 . . . . . . . . . . . .. 46
                Duke . . . . . . . . . .22 . . . . . . . . . . .. 7.0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
                Ohio State . . . . .. 19 . . . . . . . . . . .. 2.0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
                Kansas . . . . . . . . 24 . . . . . . . . . . . 11.6 . . . . . . . . . . . .. 42

                2013-2014
                WSU . . . . . . . . .. . 5 . . . . . . . . . . . 10.8 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
                Syracuse . . . . . . . 14 . . . . . . . . . . . 9.2 . . . . . . . . . . . .. . 48
                Arizona . . . . . . . . 14 . . . . . . . . . . . 10.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
                Kansas . . . . .. . . . 21 . . . . . . . . . . . 7.4 . . . . . . . . .. . . . . 43

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