KPI Competitive Analytics

[jocoshock]

http://kpisports.wordpress.com/kpibasketball/

Key stats on the season so far:

Free throws up 22.8%. Highest since 1971-72
Fouls up 17.8%. Highest since 1953-54

Progress!!!????

[RoyalShock]

I don't think anyone expected those numbers (or the games) to look pretty this season, especially two weeks in.

It's going to take a full season or two for the effects to normalize.

[wufan]

KPI would be points scored wouldn't? Or am I that bad at business that I don't know what I'm supposed to be measuring at work?

[im4wsu]

KPI would be points scored wouldn't? Or am I that bad at business that I don't know what I'm supposed to be measuring at work?

Points per game is up 8.3% comparing first ten days of this season to the first ten days of last season, 73.8 to 68.1

[moshock]

I'm pretty sure they are going to put an extra bench in for back up officials and start substituting them. They are getting gassed from blowing the whistle's so much.

Seriously, there were 60 plus fouls and almost 90 free throws shot in the MSU - Tulsa game Saturday. MSU's games were already ugly - I'm not sure how to describe them now.

[CBB_Fan]

Teams are scoring an average of 23% of their points this year from the line. Last year it was 20.4%, and the same for the year before that. Interestingly enough, that is actually an area where we have shined so far, allowing only 17.6% from the FT line, good for #299 in the nation (#1 is Wagner at 40.1%, #348 is Campbell at 7.5%). As you may recall, last year the foul line was not a strength for our defense, where we gave up 23.2% of our points (good for #44 in the nation).

To put those numbers in perspective, last year giving up 23.2% percent of your points from the FT line put you in the bottom sixth of the nation. Now it is average. And so far we've gone in the exact opposite direction from the rest of college basketball.

[ShockerFever]

I knew a thread title that included "analytics" would grab CBB's attention.

[jocoshock]

@KPIsports: @SethDavisHoops FTA/PFs down 3% this week from last. PPG up 6.0, FTA up 21%, PFs up 15% on year. Most trends holding: http://kpisports.wordpress.com/kpibasketball/

[ShockTalk]

@KPIsports: @SethDavisHoops FTA/PFs down 3% this week from last. PPG up 6.0, FTA up 21%, PFs up 15% on year. Most trends holding: http://kpisports.wordpress.com/kpibasketball/

Let me get this right.

1) The NCAA wants to increase the scoring for fan excitement (which fans want).
2) So far, to get only 6 more points per game (split between 2 teams), FTA are up 21% (so more FT made, but probably fewer FG).
3) This leads to a lot of play stoppage which has increased the total game time and hurts the flow of the game (which fans do not want).
4) Also, there are 15% more PFs which means that some of the top players fans come to see are sitting on the bench more (which fans do not want to see).

Sorry, I fail to see how this is working.

So, for the NCAA to look good, they are hoping coaches and players will play less defense, improve the above numbers, thus, more scoring, less fouling, faster pace game. Nothing like going to an extreme. If you don't like the grabbing, have the refs call real grabbing. Calling touch fouls is not the way to do it. Instead of almost eliminating the charge when a defensive player is truly playing good D, eliminate the flop.

[Dave Stalwart]

Let me get this right.

1) The NCAA wants to increase the scoring for fan excitement (which fans want).
2) So far, to get only 6 more points per game (split between 2 teams), FTA are up 21% (so more FT made, but probably fewer FG).
3) This leads to a lot of play stoppage which has increased the total game time and hurts the flow of the game (which fans do not want).
4) Also, there are 15% more PFs which means that some of the top players fans come to see are sitting on the bench more (which fans do not want to see).

Sorry, I fail to see how this is working.

So, for the NCAA to look good, they are hoping coaches and players will play less defense, improve the above numbers, thus, more scoring, less fouling, faster pace game. Nothing like going to an extreme. If you don't like the grabbing, have the refs call real grabbing. Calling touch fouls is not the way to do it. Instead of almost eliminating the charge when a defensive player is truly playing good D, eliminate the flop.

I have a prediction. Even this year, when it will be darn near impossible for anyone to draw a charge because of the "new rules," we will still get hosed in the MVC by constantly getting called for charging when we make moves to the basket. Then we can also bank on getting called for a blocking foul when an athletic specimen like Seth Van-Geese makes a slow motion move to the basket that takes so long Chadrack starts thinking he got tired and isn't still coming.

[RoyalShock]

Let me get this right.

1) The NCAA wants to increase the scoring for fan excitement (which fans want).
2) So far, to get only 6 more points per game (split between 2 teams), FTA are up 21% (so more FT made, but probably fewer FG).
3) This leads to a lot of play stoppage which has increased the total game time and hurts the flow of the game (which fans do not want).
4) Also, there are 15% more PFs which means that some of the top players fans come to see are sitting on the bench more (which fans do not want to see).

Sorry, I fail to see how this is working.

So, for the NCAA to look good, they are hoping coaches and players will play less defense, improve the above numbers, thus, more scoring, less fouling, faster pace game. Nothing like going to an extreme. If you don't like the grabbing, have the refs call real grabbing. Calling touch fouls is not the way to do it. Instead of almost eliminating the charge when a defensive player is truly playing good D, eliminate the flop.

My understanding is that the 6 ppg increase is per team, not divided between the two. (67.5 up to 73.5)

Less than one month into the season is far too early to make any judgments as to the long-term effects on the game. I've maintained since the beginning of the season that it would take at least a full season before players, coaches and officials make the adjustments. It takes time to unlearn poor defensive habits and relearn it the right way. Officials are having to process what they see differently now and that will take time.

I'm just pleased that the Shockers don't seem to be struggling as much with the changes as a lot of teams have.