RPI watch

[RoyalShock]

Now that conference play is getting started the RPI is beginning to level out and have meaning. According to WarrenNolan.com WSU is sitting at .6231, good for 20th.

The Valley jumped up to 7th, edging out the A10 by the narrowest of margins - .0001.

I'm surprised that UNI only dropped 3 spots, from 3rd to 6th, after losing on the road to Illinois St. If that had been a home game they probably fall to 15th or so.

[shox1989]

That #20 looks nice.

Other teams of interest RPIs (Warren Nolan):
In the Valley: UNI #6, CU #36, Indy State #63, MO sT- 73, The Drake #90, Illinois St #134 (they could possibly finish the season in the top 100), Bradley # 183, UE # 239, SIU #317

Top Non-Conference:
UNLV #10, Temple #23, Alabama #25, Colorado #87, Utah St. #151.

[martymoose]

I sure hope the Valley shows up to play come Bracket Busters....The could very well be a major deciding factor in whether or not we get more than 2 teams in.

[SB Shock]

Right now the projected RPI for the conference are

21 WSU
35 UNI
45 CU
58 MSU
105 ISUB
119 ISUR
156 DU
213 BU
229 EU
271 SIU

ISU-Red non-conference scheduling is really screwing the league. It looks like they are better than what their RPI would suggests.

[shox1989]

Right now the projected RPI for the conference are

21 WSU
35 UNI
45 CU
58 MSU
105 ISUB
119 ISUR
156 DU
213 BU
229 EU
271 SIU

ISU-Red non-conference scheduling is really screwing the league. It looks like they are better than what their RPI would suggests.

The good news is WSU's projection looks greats, the bad news is if it really ends like that, we are probably a one bid league again unless WSU loses in the Valley tournament (and none of us want that).

If UNI ends at 35, they have no marquee non-conference wins, so they like other Valley teams in the past with a similar rpi sit at home again with a great rpi.

Creighton at 45 would be very much on the bubble and a close look by the committee at their non-conference schedule probably keeps them at home too. The committee just seems to need to find any weakness at all to keep a non-power conference team at home when their rpi is in the 40s. CU needs San Diego St and Northwestern to do well (probably St. Joes too).

I know it is very early and these are just projections, but based on these projections it looks like the Valley could easily find a way to be a one bid conference again.

[JaminShock]

The good news is WSU's projection looks greats, the bad news is if it really ends like that, we are probably a one bid league again unless WSU loses in the Valley tournament (and none of us want that).

If UNI ends at 35, they have no marquee non-conference wins, so they like other Valley teams in the past with a similar rpi sit at home again with a great rpi.

Creighton at 45 would be very much on the bubble and a close look by the committee at their non-conference schedule probably keeps them at home too. The committee just seems to need to find any weakness at all to keep a non-power conference team at home when their rpi is in the 40s. CU needs San Diego St and Northwestern to do well (probably St. Joes too).

I know it is very early and these are just projections, but based on these projections it looks like the Valley could easily find a way to be a one bid conference again.

If CU ends at 45, I think they're in- they've been in the top 25 for a while, they have a player that stands out in Dougie, and they'll end up with 24-25 wins or so. I agree with your UNI analysis though- they look like the type of team that would be left out. If it ends like those projections, the only way to get 3 bids would be for UNI or someone to win the tourney. There's no way we would be left out with a 21 RPI, given our schedule.

[shox1989]

If CU ends at 45, I think they're in- they've been in the top 25 for a while, they have a player that stands out in Dougie, and they'll end up with 24-25 wins or so. I agree with your UNI analysis though- they look like the type of team that would be left out. If it ends like those projections, the only way to get 3 bids would be for UNI or someone to win the tourney. There's no way we would be left out with a 21 RPI, given our schedule.

It would probably work out a lot better if CU ended up at 35 and UNI at 45. At 45 I think CU might sneak in, but a close examination of their non-conference schedule and the way the committee has treated MVC teams in recent years leaves me real doubtful. I certainly wouldn't want to be them on selection Sunday sweating it out.

At 35, I would think that they would be in based on what you said. I just think 45 is too iffy.

And I agree at 21 there is no way they would leave us out.