Shox vs. MSU - 3 games

[Shocker85]

Pitching rotation:
WSU
LH Rob Musgrave 4-0, 2.13 ERA, 38.0 IP, 40 K, 6 BB, .223 OppBa
RH Aaron Shafer 4-1, 2.23 ERA, 36.1 IP, 34 K, 12 BB, .256 OppBa
LH Anthony Capra 4-0, 1.17 ERA, 23.0 IP, 34, 5 BB, .145 OppBa

MSU, ERA
RH Tim Clubb 4-0, 2.72 ERA, 39.2 IP, 36 K, 15 BB, .242 OppBa
LH Aaron Meade 4-1, 3.82 ERA, 30.2 IP, 37 K, 15 BB, .211 OppBa
LH Buddy Bauman 2-2, 5.93 ERA, 27.1 IP, 35 K, 19 BB, .257 OppBa

Records:
MSU 17-8
WSU 22-3

MSU went 2-1 in each of their 2 MVC series so far (Creighton, SIU). Both at Springfield.
Notable wins: None really. They swept Iowa at home, but Iowa is 7-15.
15 of their last 18 games have been home games, and they're 12-6 in that stretch.


MSU Bullpen:
Save leader
Matt Frevert 3-1, 3 saves, 4.61 ERA, 13.2 IP, 18 K, 11 BB, .288 OppBa, 9 App.

Others:
Pat Doyle 0-0, 1.86 ERA, 9.2 IP, 5 K, 4 BB, .194 OppBa, 7 App.
Sean Toler 0-1, 4.00 ERA, 9.0 IP, 12 K, 5 BB, 7 App.
Cody Aycock 1-0, 3.94 ERA, 16.0 IP, 5 K, 8 BB, 6 App.
Jon Barnes, 0-1, 1 save, 8.06 ERA, 22.1 IP, 17 K 5 BB, 9 App.

MSU Offense:
Team BA .318 (WSU .321)
Team SB 43/53, .811 pct (WSU 47/54, .870 pct)

Best Hitter/Avg
Ben Woodbury, .422 Avg, 0 HR, 20 RBI, 5-6 SB/Att

Best HR Threats
Ben Carlson, .394 Avg, 7 HR, 27 RBI
4 others tied with 3 each

RBI Leaders
Carlson
Braden Drake .387 Avg, 3 HR, 27 RBI, 7-8 SB/Att
Nolan Keane, .362 Avg, 3 HR, 26 RBI, 7-8 SB/Att

MSU has scored 193 (7.72/game) runs and yielded 155 (6.20/game).
WSU has scored 199 (7.96/game) runs and yielded 95 (3.80/game).

MSU Fielding Pct .963 (WSU .973)
MSU has allowed 41 unearned runs in 25 games. (WSU 31)

[Born2Shock]

Looks like they can hit a little, but hopefully we can rough up their pitching.

[Shocker85]

Missourt State comes in probably feeling pretty good about themselves. They have a good record overall, and are scoring A LOT of runs.

They have 4 guys with 20 or more RBI and a good .318 team BA. They run nearly as much as the Shox, and have a decent 81% success rate stealing bases.

The great equalizer will be the pitching.

MSU's team ERA is 5.69 and OppBa .278. Their staff has 194 K and 111 BB in 220 IP. WSU's numbers: 3.10 ERA, .226 OppBa, 224 K, 60 BB, 220.1 IP.

The top 2 starters Clubb and Meade have had good success this year and have pretty decent numbers. Clubb is a Soph and Meade is a Frosh, so the Shox need to rattle them early. Once the Shox get into the MSU bullpen, they should blow the games open.

I can't figure out how MSU's RPI can be as high as it is (78). Perhaps they haven't played many really low RPI opponents.

The Shox should sweep this series and extend their winning streak to 22 games.

--'85.

[Born2Shock]

I dont 'expect' a sweep, but it sure would be nice. Definitely open up a bit of breathing room in the conference race. Sure is nice not to run into Detwiler again.

[7hottamales]

Re: Shox vs. MSU - 3 games

Pitching rotation:
WSU
LH Rob Musgrave 4-0, 2.13 ERA, 30.2 IP, 37, 15 BB, .211 OppBa
RH Aaron Shafer 4-1, 2.23 ERA, 30.2 IP, 37, 15 BB, .211 OppBa
LH Anthony Capra 4-0, 1.17 ERA, 30.2 IP, 37, 15 BB, .211 OppBa

MSU, ERA
LH Aaron Meade 4-1, 3.82 ERA, 30.2 IP, 37, 15 BB, .211 OppBa

What are the odds that four pitchers on these two teams would have pitched precisely the same number of innings with the exact same amount of Ks, BBs, and OppBa? Freakish. :D


Seriously though, thanks for all the info. Excellent breakdown.

[WyoWu]

Boyd' current projection has SWMS as a participant in the NCAA tourney (only MVC team other than WSU).

[Born2Shock]

Re: Shox vs. MSU - 3 games

Pitching rotation:
WSU
LH Rob Musgrave 4-0, 2.13 ERA, 30.2 IP, 37, 15 BB, .211 OppBa
RH Aaron Shafer 4-1, 2.23 ERA, 30.2 IP, 37, 15 BB, .211 OppBa
LH Anthony Capra 4-0, 1.17 ERA, 30.2 IP, 37, 15 BB, .211 OppBa

MSU, ERA
LH Aaron Meade 4-1, 3.82 ERA, 30.2 IP, 37, 15 BB, .211 OppBa

What are the odds that four pitchers on these two teams would have pitched precisely the same number of innings with the exact same amount of Ks, BBs, and OppBa? Freakish. :D


Seriously though, thanks for all the info. Excellent breakdown.

Those stats arent quite right, at least according to goshockers...Im guessing a cut and paste error.

https://admin.xosn.com/fls/7500/stats/baseball/2008/teamcume.htm?ATCLID=652926&SPSID=61170&SPID=2844&DB_OEM_ID=7500

[Shocker85]

WSU pitchers' stats fixed above.

The Shox starters are combined.

12-1 W/L, 97.1 IP, 108K, 23 BB, .218 OppBA

Check out that almost 5:1 K:BB ratio and 10.02 K per 9 innings. Yikes!

--'85.

[7hottamales]

Capra's Numbers are just sick thus far.

[SB Shock]

WSU pitchers' stats fixed above.

The Shox starters are combined.

12-1 W/L, 97.1 IP, 108K, 23 BB, .218 OppBA

Check out that almost 5:1 K:BB ratio and 10.02 K per 9 innings. Yikes!

--'85.

Actually Shafer opponent BA is 0.256.

The SP have very good stats (even as Shafer seemed to struggle some), but here is the scary thing and maybe this team achilles heel is that the remaining staff has a:

5.41 ERA and the K:BB ratio drops to around 3. The hits per 9 ip climbs from 6.8 for the starters to 8.2 for bullpen.

[Shocker85]

5.41 ERA and the K:BB ratio drops to around 3. The hits per 9 ip climbs from 6.8 for the starters to 8.2 for bullpen.

I wish I had time to breakdown the relief pitching more. Fleming, Nanney, and Hoch have been great, and I suspect that if you took away a couple rocky chances for each Nanney and Hoch their number would be nearly as good as Fleming's. As it is, their combined (all 3) OppBA is well below and .200 their combined K/BB is a great 51/11.

Beyond that, I bet if you broke down the data more, you'd find the bullpen has given up a ton of runs when games were pretty one-sided in favor of the Shox. Coleman had a horrible game vs. Binghamton, Muncrief imploded vs. ORU, and Smith and Womack had their troubles vs. Harvard.

When the games are on the line, the bullpen aces have been good and the rest have been servicable. Obviously, to get to 22-3, the 'pen has to be contributing.

--'85.

[7hottamales]

Anyone know anything about Ben Carlson? Did we recruit him? How did we let a 6'3" first baseman with that frame and power get away?

[7hottamales]

Fleming, Nanney, and Hoch have been great, and I suspect that if you took away a couple rocky chances for each Nanney and Hoch their number would be nearly as good as Fleming's. As it is, their combined (all 3) OppBA is well below and .200 their combined K/BB is a great 51/11.


--'85.

Nanney has only given up 1 run and 6 base runners in 13 innings this year, so you'd be really stretching to take away rocky chances.

[Shocker85]

Nanney has only given up 1 run and 6 base runners in 13 innings this year, so you'd be really stretching to take away rocky chances.

I guess you're telling me I better pay attention to my own posts and research ...

Perhaps Nanney giving up the lead in the very first game has given me those negative vibes and they're obviously unwarranted. The runs he allowed were charged to Musgrave and were unearned anyway. Other than that game, he's been solid.

OK, you've called me out. I'll shut up. :o Or not. ;)

--'85.

[SB Shock]

When the games are on the line, the bullpen aces have been good and the rest have been servicable. Obviously, to get to 22-3, the 'pen has to be contributing.

--'85.

I think tonight performance of the bullpen speaks to exactly my concerns.