So what will Congress look like after next week?

[ABC]

GOP picks up 70 seats. One or more old dog Democratic charis go down.

Dino Rossi beats Patty Murray in Washington and Boxer goes down in California.

Senate will be 50-50 with Biden breaking ties.

GOP in Kansas holds every higher office for the first time since the early to mid 1960s.

[Maggie]

ABC going large with 70 seats in the House and given that you have both the Washington (which I think could happen) and California (which would make my night; but I think is a long shot) Senate races going to the GOP I have a question. How are you getting to nine seats?

Where will the Democrats hold: Arkansas, North Dakota, Indiana, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Illinois, or Colorado?

If the GOP takes both Washington and California – I think, odds are, they will take the Senate.

[WuDrWu]

I think the voter turnout is going to be high, for both parties, saving the Dems in more areas than people think.


I think the GOP will win Arkansas, North Dakota, Wisconsin, Indiana, Pennsylvania and Nevada. I really don't believe they'll take Pennsylvania but the voting math is too strong to ignore.

I think the GOP will come up short in Colorado, West Virginia, California and Washington, although Washington will be very close.

If by some miracle the GOP does get to 50, I believe they will convince one of the 2 independents (or my wild card selection, don't be shocked if Joe Manchin joins that group, if he gets elected.....he's a fairly conservative Dem) to caucus with them, thereby giving the GOP the majority. If it's Lieberman, he will lose his next run, and if it's Nelson, he just won his next re-election that he was going to lose.

The Republicans take the house, with 49 pickups. Raj Goyle loses, but it's within 5 points.


2 comments: I am a pessimistic person by nature about these things. Secondly, if they don't call MA-4 early, or if Manchin appears in trouble in West Virginia, all bets are off.

If by some miracle Sean Bielat beats Barney Frank early, and something else like Mass. Governor Patrick losing or the WV Senate race going Republican, then a red tsunami is on the way. If that happens, in addition to me popping the cork on some vintage champagne from the cellar, I would say the GOP will pick up 90+ seats in the house and a least get to 51 in the Senate.

[WuDrWu]

Maggie, when will start hearing rumblings about internals being released? I know the news agencies can't predict a winner until polls close, but I recall hearing substantive information in 2000 not to believe some early numbers around 2-3pm.

Just curious where you think one should turn his attention for the best news early.

[SB Shock]

Maggie, when will start hearing rumblings about internals being released? I know the news agencies can't predict a winner until polls close, but I recall hearing substantive information in 2000 not to believe some early numbers around 2-3pm.

Just curious where you think one should turn his attention for the best news early.

This afternoon. Listen to Hannity. GOP/DNC will start releasing "gossip" what they are seing in the exit polling. I recall Hannity imploring people to get out and vote for Bush when internal polling was showing him to go down. If Hannity is happy, then it will be a good night. If he's not it may be a nail biter.

This is not a slam dunk for conservative. It will have to be upset city for the Republicans for them to win the Senate. I just don't seem them running the table on 9 close races.

In the house the Conservative should win ~31 for sure. Then there are 39 tossups and another 15 possible. Tossups are tossups, nothing guaranteed.

[Maggie]

Maggie, when will start hearing rumblings about internals being released? I know the news agencies can't predict a winner until polls close, but I recall hearing substantive information in 2000 not to believe some early numbers around 2-3pm.

Just curious where you think one should turn his attention for the best news early.

Later this afternoon, if it has not happened already, exit polls and internals will start getting leaked to the media. But if I were you, I wouldn’t pay much attention. People that leak these types of polls almost always have an ulterior motive; and as a result they are not very reliable. I assume (because I can’t watch) most of the talk right now is about voter turnout. I am actually hoping for a lower than expected total voter turnout, I think that will favor the GOP.

As for where to turn for election news, I usually flip between the local affiliates, CNN, Fox and MSNBC and stop when I think someone might say something interesting (or in the case of about anyone at MSNBC this time around, commit seppuku) – they all come at it from different angles.

[engrshock]

Who cares? It will either be tax, borrow and spend Democrats or borrow, tax and spend Republicans.

[ISASO]

Sounds like none of the three "mainstream" network channels are even covering the elections live on the air. You have to go to their website...or watch the #1 news network in the world...Fox.

[SB Shock]

Maggie, when will start hearing rumblings about internals being released? I know the news agencies can't predict a winner until polls close, but I recall hearing substantive information in 2000 not to believe some early numbers around 2-3pm.

Just curious where you think one should turn his attention for the best news early.

Later this afternoon, if it has not happened already, exit polls and internals will start getting leaked to the media. But if I were you, I wouldn’t pay much attention. People that leak these types of polls almost always have an ulterior motive; and as a result they are not very reliable. I assume (because I can’t watch) most of the talk right now is about voter turnout. I am actually hoping for a lower than expected total voter turnout, I think that will favor the GOP.

As for where to turn for election news, I usually flip between the local affiliates, CNN, Fox and MSNBC and stop when I think someone might say something interesting (or in the case of about anyone at MSNBC this time around, commit seppuku) – they all come at it from different angles.

Hannity is reporting initial feeling is low democratic turnout. If true might put some other races that are though out of play - in play.

[Maggie]

Maggie, when will start hearing rumblings about internals being released? I know the news agencies can't predict a winner until polls close, but I recall hearing substantive information in 2000 not to believe some early numbers around 2-3pm.

Just curious where you think one should turn his attention for the best news early.

Later this afternoon, if it has not happened already, exit polls and internals will start getting leaked to the media. But if I were you, I wouldn’t pay much attention. People that leak these types of polls almost always have an ulterior motive; and as a result they are not very reliable. I assume (because I can’t watch) most of the talk right now is about voter turnout. I am actually hoping for a lower than expected total voter turnout, I think that will favor the GOP.

As for where to turn for election news, I usually flip between the local affiliates, CNN, Fox and MSNBC and stop when I think someone might say something interesting (or in the case of about anyone at MSNBC this time around, commit seppuku) – they all come at it from different angles.

Hannity is reporting initial feeling is low democratic turnout. If true might put some other races that are though out of play - in play.

Hope so. :noidea:

And I hope there is a:

:thewave:

[Maggie]

From my phone - I stand with (the other Doc - Krauthammer).

[WuDrWu]

From my phone - I stand with (the other Doc - Krauthammer).

:clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: