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I have always liked Miller; But at the end of the day what pundits, editors, talking heads, and even you or me think about the meaning of the election results doesn't matter nearly as much as what a select, maybe, 100 people or so think about it.
Those 100 people are the Democratic Congressmen and Senators who represent districts or states that voted for McCain. If someone wants to buy into the MSNBC-NYT take on NY-23, NJ, VA, Obama's popularity, etc. they can knock themselves out. The question is, will those congressmen and senators buy it? Oh, they may spout it; they may even want the liberal spin to be true. But will they act that way? Will they go out on a limb for a president whose personal popularity is not only falling, but at you point out seems to have no transitive properties whatsoever?
The White House clanged the cowbell as loud as it could in New Jersey and it did nothing for Corzine. And Corzine spent millions and millions of his own dollars — dollars most of these representatives won't have.
And most importantly: Virginia. This was a historic Republican rout in a purplish, swingy, trending-Democratic state.
Furthermore, it seems to me one could make a reasonable argument that the result in NY-23 makes exactly the same point as the two governor’s races: A Republican running as a conservative alternative to the party in power at the moment, reasonably attuned to the tone and mood of his constituents, and reasonably unafraid to embrace his party and its conservative identity, can win. It seems pretty obvious that if the GOP had run such a candidate in NY-23 in the first place (for instance, if they had run Hoffman rather than forcing him to run on the Conservative ticket), that candidate would have won handily.
If you're one of the congressmen or one of the senators, are you going to buy Rachel Maddow's ruby-slipper-heel-clicking spin or are you going trust your own survival instincts?
Obama may be popular, but "Obamaism" is in trouble.
Yesterday the Quinnipiac Poll showed Gov. Ted Strickland's numbers sliding across the board in Ohio.
Today, it's time to tee up President Barack Obama.
For the first time, Ohioans have a negative appraisal of the Democratic president's job performance: 50 percent disapprove, 45 percent approve. Just two months ago he was winning approval by 9 percentage points in the Connecticut university's survey.
Obama's handling of the American economy now gets thumbs down from 53 percent, while 57 percent don't like his handling of health care. And for the first time Ohioans trust congressional Republicans as much on health care as they do Obama.
"The Democratic wave that swept through Ohio in 2006 and 2008 may be cresting. The Democratic lead in the governor's and Senate races has evaporated and for the first time President Barack Obama is under water in the most important swing state in the country," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a statement.
Yeah, the Dems can wave bye bye to Ohio and Virginia and their 33 electoral votes if the President is challenged by any decent opponent next election.
While that isn't enough to turn the tables, Florida is going to absolutely LOVE the billions cut from Medicare and this entire health care debacle and he will struggle mightily to keep that blue haired state blue.
Nevada is going to be in play for sure, and it's my opinion that Minnesota will finally clear their collective throats over their idiocy in electing that buffoon of a Senator (who for you libs is about 1/1000000th as qualified to be a Senator as Glen Beck is) and sway to the right.
If conservatives can get Coloradans (?) off weed long enough to think clearly, we just might be able to save this sinking ship.
"Bush suffered for that spin for eight years. Now it’s Obama’s turn. Journalists convinced the American public that good economic growth and low unemployment were bad economic times. Only one of those numbers has rebounded and the jobless know Obama hasn’t delivered. And no amount of news spin can make 10 percent unemployment look good."
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