Super Tuesday 1.5

[SB Shock]

Well, here we go again. Exit polls are saying "Angry" and "Want somebody with no establishment ties". I'm am not thinking Rubio going to have a good night.

[SB Shock]

Trump projected to win Mississippi. Leading Cruz 49% to 35%. Not good news for Cruz as he was kind of expected to do better.

[SB Shock]

Trump is beating Kasich in Michigan 38% to 26% with 22% of the vote in. I believe Kasich thought he had a chance to win this one. So we will see if this chances much. Rubio

[Play Angry]

Looking like Republicans' last chance at stopping Trump (or the final real hurdle for his supporters to pretty much wrap up his nomination) will be in one week. If Kasich defends Ohio and Rubio defends Florida, this thing will drag out forever. If both lose their home states and Trump wins those winner-take-all delegates, game over for all practical purposes. If one of either Kasich/Rubio wins their home state and the other loses, Trump will remain in good position to avoid a brokered convention but the rest of the party will continue to fight on since a Trump nom will still not be a sure thing.

Rubio looks to be bleeding voters pretty badly right now. He has to be hoping Puerto Rico was indicative of a stealth bump in his numbers in FL's latino base. Kasich seems to be incrementally gaining share, but it is at a tortoise's pace and it seems like Ohio will probably be competitive. Cruz ironically needs someone other than Trump to win a few states where Cruz is not built to compete strongly to avoid getting flushed out in a Trump tsunami.

I guess the flip side of that argument is that in a week Cruz may be the only non-Trump candidate left in the race and he could gain momentum due to the winnowing effect. However, Trump's lead at that point would look insurmountable barring a miracle.

[CBB_Fan]

Sanders likely still has no shot at winning the Democratic race, but has pulled off the greatest polling upset in history. Multiple sources calling Michigan for Bernie. He still loses the night, but wins despite being 20% down in most recent polls in a state with a large African-American population.