who will win Iowa

[SB Shock]

Cruz 28
Trump 25
Rubio 22

75%

Narrative is starting to trend with analyst of a Upset of Trump by Cruz....if that does in fact happen does Trump wish he had not skipped the debate?

[tropicalshox]

Once a phone gets change at the Iowa State campus, Sanders will pick up five delegates on Clinton.

[SB Shock]

analyst comments....

Nate Cohn


At the moment, it's pretty easy to imagine a scenario that few people talked about in the run-up to the caucuses: a very high turnout, and a Trump defeat.

David Wasserman 9:49 PM

Tonight’s biggest loser so far? Conventional Wisdom. Supposedly, bigger turnout was going to be great for Trump. Right now, it looks terrific for Ted Cruz, who is on the verge of pulling off what would have to be considered an upset victory.

[tropicalshox]

O'Malley is expected to suspend his campaign.

[SB Shock]

It is being reported that Martin O'Malley is dropping out....

[MoValley John]

It is being reported that Martin O'Malley is dropping out....

Martin O'Who?

Oh, maybe that's why he's dropping out.

[tropicalshox]

Martin O'Who?

Oh, maybe that's why he's dropping out.

Not much support but 75 percent would probably go to Sanders.

[SB Shock]

lan Rappeport
It looks like Trump has succeeded in bringing out new voters, but they are not all in his corner.

CRuz 28%
Trump 24%
Rubio 23%

99% in

[tropicalshox]

Clinton's lead is now down to 1 percent and several college precincts are not in.

[SB Shock]

NBC is projecting Cruz as the winner.

Now the race for 2nd

[SB Shock]

Clinton's lead is now down to 1 percent and several college precincts are not in.

Unfortunately....

David Wasserman 10:21 PM

The Democratic race looks razor-close, but one good sign for Clinton is that 25 percent of Polk County (Des Moines) is still out compared to just 17 percent of the statewide vote still out. Des Moines is home to the largest concentration of non-white Democrats in Iowa, and Clinton leads there by 8.2 percentage points tonight.

Fox news just announces Cruz as winner.

[Play Angry]

Good night for Cruz and Rubio. Borderline disaster for Trump as he hangs onto 2nd by his fingernails.

[SB Shock]

Julia Azari 10:29 PM

After all these months I’m pretty sure we’re all owed a Trump concession speech. Preferably with Sarah Palin doing a rebuttal.

Hillary announces she THINKS she has won....meanwhile

Harry Enten 10:29 PM

Clinton’s lead is down to just 0.6 percentage points with 84 percent of precincts in. Razor thin …

[SB Shock]

Huckabee is suspending his campaign

[SB Shock]

Good night for Cruz and Rubio. Borderline disaster for Trump as he hangs onto 2nd by his fingernails.

Alex Conant, Rubio's spokesman has already been gloating on MSNBC: "We’re leaving Iowa very, very happy.”