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Severe Weather Potential - Friday (4/13) - SLIGHT RISK

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  • Severe Weather Potential - Friday (4/13) - SLIGHT RISK

    Friday outlook is upper SLIGHT RISK. The probabilities are the highest they can give for slight risk day. Tornado and Hail probabilities.

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  • #2
    SPC next update for today will be 8am this morning.

    Comment


    • #3
      Concerned with any storm lifting north into this area will be large hail.
      The mountains are calling, and I must go.

      Comment


      • #4
        No change in the outlook as of 0800am this morning but the SPC did have this

        THE MOST AGGRESSIVE SCENARIO SUPPORTS A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO
        RISK WELL AFTER DARK...WHILE MODEL CONSENSUS IS NOT QUITE SO
        FAVORABLE. AS A RESULT...WILL ADD A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO RISK
        AREA...BUT WILL DEFER ANY POTENTIAL NEED FOR AN OUTLOOK UPGRADE TO
        LATER OUTLOOKS...WHICH WILL HAVE THE BENEFIT OF SORTING OUT MANY OF
        THE UNCERTAINTIES PRESENT THIS MORNING.
        Next update by SPC willl be at 1130am

        Comment


        • #5
          no significant change. SPC did say the more significant threat will be evening near dark

          DURING THE EVENING...AS THE INITIAL STORMS SHIFT NEWD TOWARD NRN
          OK/SRN KS...AN EXPANSION IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED AS SLY
          LOW-LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES TO NEAR 50 KT. WHILE AN EVENTUAL LARGE
          CLUSTER OF STORMS -- ACCOMPANIED BY POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
          LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS -- SHOULD EVOLVE AND SHIFT ENEWD ACROSS KS
          AND INTO MO WITH TIME...A PERIOD OF HEIGHTENED TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY
          EXIST FOR A FEW HOURS INVOF SUNSET AND INTO EARLY EVENING AS THE
          LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILE BECOMES PARTICULARLY SUPPORTIVE.

          Comment


          • #6
            Wonder what ICT will do about all of the soccer games and the softball tournament that happens at South Lakes Sports complex saturday. That is literally hundreds of people out in the open saturday right north of Campus High.

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            • #7
              Storms are firing up south and southeast of us here in ICT. However, our dew points have dropped in the past couple of hours. Will that keep the storms east/se of us...or does the dryline have the potential to work back west?

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              • #8
                It is suppose to work back north and west as the evening goes on.

                Comment


                • #9
                  SPC is looking at possibly upgrading the existing T-Storm watch to a Tornado Watch.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Left SWBC about an hour or so ago and stopped to eat at Village Inn. Cloud cover quickly and even had a very very short shower. wonderful night for baseball

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