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Severe Weather Potential - Friday (4/13) - SLIGHT RISK
No change in the outlook as of 0800am this morning but the SPC did have this
THE MOST AGGRESSIVE SCENARIO SUPPORTS A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO
RISK WELL AFTER DARK...WHILE MODEL CONSENSUS IS NOT QUITE SO
FAVORABLE. AS A RESULT...WILL ADD A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO RISK
AREA...BUT WILL DEFER ANY POTENTIAL NEED FOR AN OUTLOOK UPGRADE TO
LATER OUTLOOKS...WHICH WILL HAVE THE BENEFIT OF SORTING OUT MANY OF
THE UNCERTAINTIES PRESENT THIS MORNING.
no significant change. SPC did say the more significant threat will be evening near dark
DURING THE EVENING...AS THE INITIAL STORMS SHIFT NEWD TOWARD NRN
OK/SRN KS...AN EXPANSION IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED AS SLY
LOW-LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES TO NEAR 50 KT. WHILE AN EVENTUAL LARGE
CLUSTER OF STORMS -- ACCOMPANIED BY POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS -- SHOULD EVOLVE AND SHIFT ENEWD ACROSS KS
AND INTO MO WITH TIME...A PERIOD OF HEIGHTENED TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY
EXIST FOR A FEW HOURS INVOF SUNSET AND INTO EARLY EVENING AS THE
LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILE BECOMES PARTICULARLY SUPPORTIVE.
Wonder what ICT will do about all of the soccer games and the softball tournament that happens at South Lakes Sports complex saturday. That is literally hundreds of people out in the open saturday right north of Campus High.
Storms are firing up south and southeast of us here in ICT. However, our dew points have dropped in the past couple of hours. Will that keep the storms east/se of us...or does the dryline have the potential to work back west?
Left SWBC about an hour or so ago and stopped to eat at Village Inn. Cloud cover quickly and even had a very very short shower. wonderful night for baseball
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