40 Man Roster Review - Jeff Francoeur
Royals Roll With What They Got: Pitching Outlook
In 2008, Jeff Francoeur went from budding superstar to a guy who hit .239/.294/.359. From that point forward, it became something of a running joke that it was only a matter of time before Frenchy became a Kansas City Royal.
When Francoeur actually did re-unite with Dayton Moore prior to the 2011 season (signing for a modest $2.5 million coming off a .249/.300./383 season), the deal was mocked, ridiculed and generally lambasted by pretty much anyone and everyone not getting a paycheck with a big crown in the lefthand corner. This was, as many said, just another sign that the Royals don’t really get it. For the previous three years, Francoeur had been a cumulative +0.1 WAR. He had never been a good on-base guy and now had become a flailing free swinger who didn’t even hit for power. Even his once Gold Glove level fielding seemed to be in decline.
Personally, I was sort of ambivalent about the signing. After all, who exactly was going to play in right field? Keep in mind, Frenchy came on board before Melky Cabrera and before the Greinke trade. All things considered and with all the young prospects not expected to be in Kansas City until late in the year at the earliest, it seemed to be a low risk deal: albeit one with little chance of success. Even with the goofy mutual option tagged on it was still better than Jose Guillen for three years.
Oh, Dayton Moore, you glorious…..
When Francoeur actually did re-unite with Dayton Moore prior to the 2011 season (signing for a modest $2.5 million coming off a .249/.300./383 season), the deal was mocked, ridiculed and generally lambasted by pretty much anyone and everyone not getting a paycheck with a big crown in the lefthand corner. This was, as many said, just another sign that the Royals don’t really get it. For the previous three years, Francoeur had been a cumulative +0.1 WAR. He had never been a good on-base guy and now had become a flailing free swinger who didn’t even hit for power. Even his once Gold Glove level fielding seemed to be in decline.
Personally, I was sort of ambivalent about the signing. After all, who exactly was going to play in right field? Keep in mind, Frenchy came on board before Melky Cabrera and before the Greinke trade. All things considered and with all the young prospects not expected to be in Kansas City until late in the year at the earliest, it seemed to be a low risk deal: albeit one with little chance of success. Even with the goofy mutual option tagged on it was still better than Jose Guillen for three years.
Oh, Dayton Moore, you glorious…..
“We’re kind of set with what we have.”-GM Dayton Moore
Dayton obviously knows at this point the team is more than one starting pitcher away from winning the division. It recently became a little more clear that it would be an even tougher task this season with Prince Fielder going to the Tigers. He also said that the teams next step was to get some of our young starting pitching to the major leagues. I like the approach of waiting to see what young talent we have sitting in our farm system before dumping it all off. Losing a prospect or two this year for one arm like Latos or Gio Gonzo would have satisfied many fans for sure. I can write this and say without a doubt I think the right decisions were made this off-season in holding strong. Our starting rotation for this season looks strikingly close to the same rotation that produced the 2nd highest American league ERA last season (4.82).
So you think we got a few games with Albert Pujols off the schedule with him moving to the Angels? Think again and add some more pain as a new signing makes it even worse. With the signing of Fielder to Detroit and Albert Pujols to the Angels Royals pitchers will face the two sluggers in 27 games this year. Detroit took the division by 15 games last year and have now cemented themselves as the big favorite to repeat as the AL Central champs. Making a push against the Tigers this year means that Royals starting pitching will really need to perform above expectations. That starts with Luke Hochevar and his 5.29 career ERA. Luke has only gotten 3 wins in a month 3 times in his career and always seems to fall off the wagon after a decent game. In my mind this is his year and I’ll tell you why I think this, and why you might think I’m crazy. Or it might not be his year it all depends on a few key stats. These will hold true to the success of both Luke and Felipe Paulino. Last season Luke had his lowest WHIP in the last 4 years by a long shot at 1.28 and his ground out % rose considerably. Along with the most important stat of all the FIRST PITCH STRIKE. I believe based on his pitching tendencies from last season and the increased numbers and percentages in these categories he has finally arrived. It also doesn’t hurt that Hoch had the 2nd best rated slider per 100 pitches in baseball right behind Cliff Lee and in front of Clayton Kershaw. He doesn’t really have another option but to perform at this point. This is going to be the final year for him to secure a spot as the Royals will surely move forward without him if he falters this season.
Dayton obviously knows at this point the team is more than one starting pitcher away from winning the division. It recently became a little more clear that it would be an even tougher task this season with Prince Fielder going to the Tigers. He also said that the teams next step was to get some of our young starting pitching to the major leagues. I like the approach of waiting to see what young talent we have sitting in our farm system before dumping it all off. Losing a prospect or two this year for one arm like Latos or Gio Gonzo would have satisfied many fans for sure. I can write this and say without a doubt I think the right decisions were made this off-season in holding strong. Our starting rotation for this season looks strikingly close to the same rotation that produced the 2nd highest American league ERA last season (4.82).
So you think we got a few games with Albert Pujols off the schedule with him moving to the Angels? Think again and add some more pain as a new signing makes it even worse. With the signing of Fielder to Detroit and Albert Pujols to the Angels Royals pitchers will face the two sluggers in 27 games this year. Detroit took the division by 15 games last year and have now cemented themselves as the big favorite to repeat as the AL Central champs. Making a push against the Tigers this year means that Royals starting pitching will really need to perform above expectations. That starts with Luke Hochevar and his 5.29 career ERA. Luke has only gotten 3 wins in a month 3 times in his career and always seems to fall off the wagon after a decent game. In my mind this is his year and I’ll tell you why I think this, and why you might think I’m crazy. Or it might not be his year it all depends on a few key stats. These will hold true to the success of both Luke and Felipe Paulino. Last season Luke had his lowest WHIP in the last 4 years by a long shot at 1.28 and his ground out % rose considerably. Along with the most important stat of all the FIRST PITCH STRIKE. I believe based on his pitching tendencies from last season and the increased numbers and percentages in these categories he has finally arrived. It also doesn’t hurt that Hoch had the 2nd best rated slider per 100 pitches in baseball right behind Cliff Lee and in front of Clayton Kershaw. He doesn’t really have another option but to perform at this point. This is going to be the final year for him to secure a spot as the Royals will surely move forward without him if he falters this season.
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